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u=1464742236,2807586948_fm=26_gp=0

 

u=271032921,1318242389_fm=26_gp=0

 

 

各位投資人好,今天是6月17號,今天台股盤面上下震盪比較大,主要是反映聯準會會議裡面提到了幾點,第
1點,利率上升2次在2023年底,其實這個是比上次講的2024年來得早,另外的話,在基準利率還是維持在0到0
.25%之間,同時他也把CPI的這個數字,尤其是明年後年有提升0.1%到2.1%的水準,今年的話,CPI大概在3.4%
,當然主席也提到基數的效果,因為去年畢竟受到疫情的影響,需求是比較薄弱的,今年一下子不管是遞延的需
求,或者是整個大家在心態上比較樂觀積極的情況下,產生了這種原物料基數的效應,反映在包含可能是運價,
或者是一些因為產能不均衡造成的現象。

另外他也提到,這個1200億美元的每月購債數字不變,要一直到就業市場回到正常水準,最正面的一點,其實
他是把美國今年的經濟成長率提高到7%,比去年的6.5%來得高,因為這個升息的預期,或者是縮表也好,它反
映比較相關聯的工業股、週期股、金融股上面,所以其實各位投資人如果回過頭去看,最近這1個禮拜,在美股
裡面道瓊的跌勢,就是比那斯達克或費半來得高,如果說我們看到道瓊裡面的成分股來講,反映在像陶氏化學(
Dow Chemical),或者是像卡特彼勒、3M、金融股,這些股票是比較弱的。

 

 

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